Matematika Poker – Bagian 6 – Menganalisis All-In EV (Beberapa Lawan)

Anda sekarang menggunakan informasi dalam formula EV standar dari Bagian 4 dan 5:

EV = ($menang dari pot) + ($menang dari taruhan) – ($kalah dari taruhan)

($  di menang dari pot)

Hitung seberapa sering pot akan dimenangkan (win %) dan nilai dari % menang (win $), tetapi hitung masing-masing dari 4 opsi secara terpisah.

Pot menang% (Panggilan + Lipat) = 0,15 x 0,47 = 0,07 = 7,0%

% Pot menang (Fold + Call) = 0,525 x 0,55 = 0,28875 = 28,9%

Pot menang% (Panggilan + Panggilan) = 0,10 x 0,30= 0,03 = 3,0%

Pot menang % (Lipat + Lipat) = 0,225 x 100,0 = 0,225 = 22,5%

Total kemenangan pot % = 61,40% (7.0 + 28.9 + 3.0 + 22.5)

Pot menang $ = $95 x 61,40% = $58,33

Oleh karena itu ($ menang dari pot) = $58,33

($ menang dari taruhan)

Identifikasi seberapa sering, rata-rata, Anda MENANG pot ketika lawan memasukkan berbagai jumlah uang ke dalam pot ($ x % peluang panggilan atau naikkan x % ekuitas untuk setiap acara):

Lawan 1 Panggilan = $172 x 15% x 47% = $12,13

Lawan 2 Panggilan = $72 x 52,5% x 55% = $20,79

Panggilan 1 dan 2 = $244 x 10% x 30% = $7.32

Oleh karena itu ($ menang dari taruhan) adalah $40.24 (12.13 + 20.79 +7.32)

($ kalah dari taruhan)

Identifikasi seberapa sering, rata-rata, Anda KEHILANGAN pot ketika lawan memasukkan berbagai jumlah uang ke dalam pot ($ x % peluang panggilan atau kenaikan x % NO ekuitas untuk setiap acara):

Lawan 1 Panggilan = $192 x 15% x 53% = $15,26

Lawan 2 Panggilan = $122 x 52,5% x 45% = $28,82

Panggilan 1 dan 2 = $192 x 10% x 70% = $13,44

Oleh karena itu ($ kalah dari taruhan) adalah $57,52 (15,26 + 28,82 + 13,44)

(Total EV $ Nilai)

Tambahkan hasilnya bersama-sama:

TOTAL EV = $58,33 + $40,24 – $57,52 = $41,05

Catatan penting

1. Selalu ingat untuk menimbang keuntungan atau kerugian yang diharapkan dengan % kemungkinan terjadinya peristiwa.
2. Jika EV menguntungkan, itu mungkin BUKAN yang PALING menguntungkan karena mungkin ada skenario yang lebih menguntungkan (termasuk fold).
3. EV dapat beroperasi secara terpisah dalam permainan uang, tetapi dalam MTT mungkin ada pertimbangan turnamen yang mengesampingkan EV dalam keputusan akhir tentang tindakan apa yang harus diambil.

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